In Re the First Marblehead Corp. Securities Litigation
Full Opinion (html_with_citations)
MEMORANDUM
I. Introduction
Lead Plaintiffs Pembroke Pines Fire and Police Pension Fund, and Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH bring this securities fraud action against Defendant The First Marblehead Corporation (âFirst Marbleheadâ) and several of its former and current executives: Defendants Jack L. Kopnisky, John A. Hupalo, Peter B. Tarr, William Baumer, Donald R. Peck, Stephen E. Anbinder, Leslie L. Alexander, and William R. Berkley (âIndividual Defendantsâ). The two-count Amended Class Action Complaint alleges violations of (1) § 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (âthe Exchange Actâ), 1 and Securities and Exchange Commission (âSECâ) Rule 10b-5, 2 against all Defendants; and (2) § 20(a) of the Exchange Act 3 against Individual Defendants. Presently at issue is Defendantsâ Motion to Dismiss both counts. For the following reasons, Defendantsâ Motion is ALLOWED.
II. Background
First Marblehead provides private student loan-related services, particularly with respect to structuring securitizations of such loans. This action was filed on April 10, 2008 on behalf of all individuals and entities who purchased First Marble- *148 head common stock between August 10, 2006 and April 7, 2008 (âClass Periodâ). This court allowed consolidation on August 28, 2008, and Lead Plaintiffs filed the Amended Class Action Complaint (âComplaintâ) on November 28, 2008. The Complaint alleges that Defendants âfailed to disclose material adverse factsâ about First Marbleheadâs âfinancial well-being and future prospects,â 4 which caused Plaintiffs to suffer âsignificant losses and damages.â 5 The following background facts are taken from the Complaint and various publicly filed documents. 6
A. First Marblehead
First Marbleheadâs student loan services include program design and marketing, borrower inquiry and application, origination and disbursement, securitization, and servicing. During the Class Period, First Marbleheadâs profitability largely depended on its securitization services. For each securitization, First Marblehead would form a trust. The trust would buy private student loans from lenders and finance the purchases by issuing debt securities. The debt securities would in turn be âbackedâ by the student loans, meaning principal and interest from the student loans would be used to repay the debt securities.
Compensation for First Marbleheadâs securitization services consisted of structural advisory fees, residual interests, and administrative fees. Structural advisory fees took two forms. First, âup-frontâ structural advisory fees entitled First Marblehead to payment when or soon after a trust purchased a pool of student loans. Second, âadditionalâ structural advisory fees provided First Marblehead with rights to additional payments based on the amount of loans outstanding in a given trust. Residual interests entitled First Marblehead to receive proceeds contingent on the performance of the trusts to which the residual interests were assigned. Administrative fees provided First Marble-head with payments ranging from five to twenty basis points, per year, of the student loan balance in a given trust. For accounting purposes, First Marblehead was required to recognize the up-front structural advisory fees, and the âback-endâ additional structural advisory fees and residual interests, at the time of securitization. Administrative fees were recognized when earned.
First Marblehead utilized a model to predict the value of future payments from its additional structural advisory fees and residual interests. The model was based on discounted cash flow techniques and the following âassumptionsâ relevant to estimating the value of First Marbleheadâs future payments: (1) the discount rate; (2) the annual rate of student loan prepayments; (3) the trend of interest rates over the life of the loan pool; (4) expected loan defaults; and (5) net of recoveries. To valĂșate these assumptions, First Marble-head consulted proprietary historical data, third-party data, and industry expertise. Other factors relevant to estimating the value of future payments included specific program and borrower characteristics, such as loan type and borrower creditworthiness, and trends in loan performance over time.
An important component of First Marbleheadâs profitability was First Marble- *149 headâs relationship with The Education Resources Institute, Inc. (âTERIâ). TERI would âguaranteeâ student loans purchased by the trusts, agreeing to reimburse the trusts for unpaid principal and interest resulting from defaults on the loans. In return, TERI would receive fees based on the loan type and risk profile of the student borrowers. TERI would pledge much of the capital from the fees toward securing TERIâs guaranty obligations. First Marblehead purchased TERIâs operating assets in 2001, and TERI used First Marbleheadâs office space throughout the Class Period.
B. The Alleged Fraudulent Scheme
Lead Plaintiffs claim that âDefendants engaged in a concerted effort to increase loan volume and maximize profits on its securitizations.â 7 To do this, Defendants âsecretly lowered their credit guidelines to encompass a far greater swath of student loan applicants.â 8 Loan default rates began to âskyrocketâ and TERIâs impending failure âbecame readily apparent,â but âDefendants remained silent and continued to mislead the investing public.â 9
The Complaint avers that the fraudulent scheme began in 2005, when First Marble-head secretly adopted a more aggressive approach to student lending under Defendant Kopnisky, First Marbleheadâs Chief Executive Officer at the time. Defendant Kopnisky allegedly âadvocated the implementation of several programs, including an âExpanded Tier Program,â that catered to students with lower credit ratings.â 10 Lead Plaintiffs contend that âprior to and during the Class Period,â Defendants represented âthat students and co-signers were required to possess a[Fair Isaac Corporation (âFICOâ) ] score above 700 in order to qualify for a private student loan.â 11 First Marblehead allegedly then âembarked on a riskier approach through lower credit guidelines.â 12
According to the former Senior Vice President for Applications Development (âFormer VP of Applicationsâ), employed at First Marblehead from 2005 through 2007, First Marblehead began â âgoing downstreamâ ... to expand loan volume and maximize securitization profitability.â 13 A former Senior Process Analyst (âFormer Process Analystâ) employed at First Marblehead from 2004 through 2008 stated that Defendant Kopnisky implemented a program in 2006 by which First Marblehead permitted students with âbad creditâ to âtake up to three lifetime loans with a maximum of $4,000 granted per loan.â 14 The Former Process Analyst stated further that First Marbleheadâs credit guidelines were being âbentâ and that applicants were authorized to âtake out excessive loans with terms beyond First Marbleheadâs historical criteria.â 15 According to the Former VP of Applications, the risk management departmentâs âalarmâ at First Marbleheadâs new approach to credit guidelines âwas generally overlooked by First Marbleheadâs management.â 16 The Complaint alleges that âthe focus at [executive] meetings was entirely *150 on âhitting numbersâ and meeting Wall Street expectations.â 17
Lead Plaintiffs claim that First Marble-headâs new lending initiative led to an undisclosed rise in cancellation and default rates. A former Loan Funding Division Manager (âFormer Loan Managerâ) employed at First Marblehead from 2004 through 2008 stated that beginning in early 2007, disbursement volumes were âescalatingâ and cancellation rates were increasing âeven faster.â 18 The Former Loan Manager stated that cancellation rates went âoff the chartsâ starting in the summer of 2007, âskyrocket[ing] 174%â between July 2006 and July 2007. 19 According to the Complaint, â[b]y September 2007, the problem was âhuge,â with 5,000 cancellations in that month alone.â 20 The Former Loan Manager found cancellation predictions âextremely difficult to pin down and exceedingly unreliable in nature,â 21 and the Complaint alleges that this âvolatility did not allow [the Former Loan Manager] to produce accurate predictions for cancellations.â 22
The âmore ominous developmentâ for First Marblehead began in 2007, when default rates started to âdramatically increase.â 23 According to the former Chief Information Security Officer (âFormer CISOâ), employed at First Marblehead from 2004 through 2008, default rates were âsoaringâ because First Marblehead had âdrastically lowered its credit guidelines in order to increase loan volume.â 24 Defendant Baumer informed the Former CISO in November 2007 that First Marblehead was starting to experience a âreal trend in loan defaults as a result of the lowered credit guidelines.â 25 According to the former Borrower Output Division Supervisor (âFormer Output Supervisorâ), employed at First Marblehead from 2004 through 2008, First Marblehead informed employees at an August 2007 meeting that default rates and fraud rates were âincreasing.â 26 In addition, First Marblehead allegedly âannounced that it was unable to auction off [its] paper on the market.â 27 According to a former Business Development Relationship Manager (âFormer Relationship Managerâ) employed at First Marblehead from 2006 through 2008, âby late 2007, there was a growing awareness among employees in the Company that First Marble-headâs forecasting models were no longer able to accurately predict default and cancellation rates.â 28 The Former Relationship Manager informed First Marbleheadâs clients in December 2007 that First Marblehead would need to â âtighten upâ its credit criteria.â 29
According to the Former VP for Applications, First Marblehead was âintentionally concealingâ its default rates in Decem *151 ber 2007. 30 The Complaint alleges that First Marblehead âpublically disclosed default rates of 8%,â but its âactual default rate was approaching double that- â -approximately 16%.â 31 The Former CISO stated that by the beginning of 2008, default rates had âclimbed as high as 14 or 15%â and ârisk management employees [had] projected default rates as high as 18% in the short-term.â 32
The Complaint avers that rising default rates caused a deterioration in TERIâs financial stability of which First Marblehead was aware and did not disclose. Lead Plaintiffs allege that âfinancial information flowed freelyâ between TERI and First Marblehead. 33 The Former VP for Applications described TERI and First Marble-headâs relationship as âalmost hostileâ during the Class Period, and the Former CISO described it as a âbad marriageâ with a âgreat deal of animosity.â 34
The Former CISO stated that TERI was able âto accommodate only a six to eight percent default rate,â but âFirst Marblehead was experiencing double those figures.â 35 He stated that these figures placed TERI âin the position of bankruptcyâ 36 and that âit was clear to First Marblehead executives by November 2007 that TERI would have major solvency issues if the negative default trends continued.â 37 The Complaint alleges that âFirst Marble-head executives, including Defendants Kopnisky and Tarr, were well aware of TERIâs cash position many months before TERI filed for bankruptcy in April 2008.â 38 According to the Former CISO, in December 2007, TERI Chief Executive Officer Willis Haullings informed Defendants Kopnisky and Tarr that the TERI trust was ârunning out of funds due to a systematic increase in loan defaults.â 39 The Complaint alleges that âHullings asked Defendants Kopnisky and Tarr on behalf of TERI for a cash infusion in order to maintain TERIâs operations,â and âDefendants completely ignored Hullingsâ warnings and refused to offer TERI any assistance.â 40
C. The Securities Fraud Claims
The Complaint charges that during the Class Period, âDefendants repeatedly issued false and misleading statements regarding First Marbleheadâs credit criteria, revenue from securitizations, future growth prospects, default rates, and TERIâs viability.â 41 Taken from sources such as press releases, conference calls, and SEC filings, Lead Plaintiffs present the allegedly false and misleading statements, in block quotation format, at pages thirty-one through seventy-eight of the Complaint. 42 In addition, the Complaint alleges that âDefendants omitted to disclose the details of their clandestine arrangements in order to maximize short-term profits.â 43 Lead Plaintiffs claim that *152 First Marbleheadâs statements during the Class Period were materially false and misleading for the following reasons:
they (1) misrepresented the true earnings and financial condition of the Company; (2) failed to disclose the material adverse non-public information that First Marblehead had lowered its credit guidelines and was experiencing significant problems with the Companyâs ability to securitize loans; (3) failed to disclose that First Marblehead was experiencing rising default rates in its securitized loans, and that neither the Company nor TERI could absorb such high default rates; ([4]) faded to disclose that the Company may be unable to securitize its loans in the near future; ([5]) failed to disclose that First Marblehead may forego the securitization of loans in 2008; ([6]) concealed First Marbleheadâs inability to manage TERIâs risk, the Companyâs failure to consult with ratings agencies, TERIâs inability to guarantee First Marblehead loans and the Companyâs true role in managing TERIâs business and operations; and ([7]) failed to maintain adequate internal and financial controls. 44
The Complaint alleges that Individual Defendants âparticipated in the fraudulent schemeâ through their âreceipt of information reflecting the true facts regarding First Marblehead,â âcontrol over, receipt and/or modification of First Marbleheadâs allegedly materially misleading statements and omissions,â and âpositions with the Company which made them privy to confidential information concerning First Marblehead.â 45 Specifically, the Class Action Complaint alleges that Defendant Kopnisky implemented the programs that catered to students with lower credit ratings; 46 Defendant Baumer received reports detailing rising cancellation rates, 47 supervised individuals responsible for monitoring and analyzing loan assumptions and default rates, 48 and was aware of the rising default rates; 49 and Defendants Kopnisky and Tarr were aware of TERIâs cash position. 50 Lead Plaintiffs allege that Individual Defendants âconcealed ... the truth of the Companyâs problemsâ to âpersonally profit from the fraud through compensation as a result of the inflated financial results.â 51
Lead Plaintiffs also claim that the alleged fraudulent scheme enabled certain Individual Defendants to profit from insider selling. During the Class Period, âDefendants Alexander, Anbinder, and Berkley sold approximately 4.7 million shares of First Marblehead stock for gross proceeds of approximately $208 million.â 52 The shares sold during the Class Period constituted approximately 13.81% of Defendant Alexanderâs holdings, 24.95% of Defendant Anbinderâs holdings, and 12.90% of Defendant Berkleyâs holdings. 53
The Complaint alleges that as the âDefendantsâ misrepresentations and fraudulent conduct were disclosed and became apparent to the market,â 54 âFirst Marble- *153 headâs common stock price fell over 94% from the Class Period high of $57.56.â 55 The Complaint avers that the fraudulent scheme was revealed to the market on the following dates: (1) âon November 26, 2007, following FBRâs announcement that it was downgrading First Marblehead, the Companyâs stock declined by 10%â; (2) â[o]n December 5, 2007, after Moodyâs announced that it was performing a review of First Marblehead for possible downgrade, the Companyâs stock sank by over 20%â; (3) â[ajfter First Marblehead announced on December 7, 2007 that it was slashing its dividend, the Companyâs stock decreased an additional 11.5%â; (4) â[o]n March 27, 2008, after Moodyâs downgraded 18 classes of First Marblehead notes, the Companyâs stock dropped 10%â; and (5) âafter TERI filed for bankruptcy on April [7], 2008, First Marblehead shares plunged over 36%.â 56
On February 9, 2009, Defendants moved for dismissal of the Complaint pursuant to Rules 9(b) and 12(b)(6) on the grounds that Lead Plaintiffs have engaged in proscribed âpuzzle pleadingâ and have failed to plead adequately the following required elements of a § 10(b) claim: (1) a material misrepresentation or omission; (2) scienter; and (3) loss causation.
III. Discussion
A. Legal Standard for Motion to Dismiss
In addressing a motion to dismiss, the court must accept all well-pleaded facts as true and draw all reasonable inferences in the plaintiffs favor. 57 This does not mean, however, that the court must âswallow the plaintiffs invective hook, line, and sinker.â 58 The court need not credit âbald assertionsâ or âunsupportable conclusions.â 59 Dismissal under Rule 9(b) is appropriate if the plaintiff does not âstate with particularity the circumstances constituting fraud or mistake.â 60 Dismissal pursuant to Rule 12(b)(6) will ensue if the plaintiff âfail[s] to state a claim upon which relief can be granted.â 61
B. Pleading Standard Under the PSLRA
In securities cases sounding in fraud, the complaint must satisfy the pleading standards of both Rule 9(b) and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act (âPSLRAâ). 62 The PSLRA requires plaintiffs alleging securities fraud based on misstatements or omissions of material fact to âspecify each statement alleged to have been misleading, the reason or reasons why the statement is misleading, and, if an allegation regarding the statement or omission is made on information and belief, [to] state with particularity all facts on which that belief is formed.â 63 The *154 PSLRA also requires the complaint to âstate with particularity facts giving rise to a strong inferenceâ that the defendant acted with scienter. 64
Defendantsâ first ground for dismissal is that Lead Plaintiffs have violated Rules 8, 9(b), and the PSLRA by engaging in âpuzzle pleading.â A puzzle-style complaint may fail to satisfy the federal pleading standards due to its âevasive, noncommittal style,â which âsignificantly increases the burdens to both the defendants and the court in evaluating a complaintâs satisfaction of the PSLRA pleading requirements.â 65 Defendants contend that Lead Plaintiffs have engaged in puzzle pleading by reproducing blocks of text without specifying which portions are false or misleading. Though the Complaint might have identified with greater particularity the reasons why each statement was allegedly false or misleading, Lead Plaintiffs set forth those reasons categorically, in paragraph 181 of the Complaint. With paragraph 181 as a guide, 66 this court considers the Complaint on the merits. 67
C. Section 10(b)
Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act makes it unlawful to âuse or employ, in connection with the purchase or sale of any security ..., any manipulative or deceptive device or contrivance in contravention ofâ an SEC rule. 68 SEC Rule 10b-5, which was promulgated under § 10(b), prohibits âmak[ing] any untrue statement of a material factâ or âomitfting] to state a material fact necessary in order to make the statements made ... not misleading.â 69 To state a claim for securities fraud under § 10(b) and Rule 10b â 5, a complaint must plead the following elements: â(1) a material misrepresentation or omission; (2) scienter, or a wrongful state of mind; (3) a connection with the purchase or sale of a security; (4) reliance; (5) economic loss; and (6) loss causation.â 70
Defendants seek dismissal of the Complaint for failure to plead a material misrepresentation or omission, scienter, or loss causation. This court addresses each ground for dismissal in turn and concludes that Lead Plaintiffs have failed to state an actionable § 10(b) claim.
1. Material Misrepresentation or Omission
A complaint brought under § 10(b) must âspecify each statement alleged to have been misleadingâ and âthe reasons why the statement is misleading.â 71 The complaint *155 âmust provide factual support for the claim that the statements or omissions were fraudulent.â 72 A plaintiff fails to plead an actionable § 10(b) claim predicated on the concealment of information if that information was, in fact, disclosed. 73
a. Credit Guidelines
Lead Plaintiffs charge Defendants with failing to disclose that âFirst Marble-head had lowered its credit guidelines.â 74 Because First Marblehead disclosed that borrowers were not required to have a FICO score above 700 and that it had lowered its credit criteria, this claim fails. 75
First Marbleheadâs and the trustsâ SEC filings during the Class Period disclosed the credit scores of the student loans owned by the trusts and demonstrated that First Marblehead did not set a strict FICO score requirement of 700. One type of filing that was submitted to the SEC were the trust prospectuses, which provided information about each trust that First Marblehead helped form. Each trust prospectus reported the number of loans in the trust with FICO scores ranging from 600 to 800, in ten point increments, and disclosed FICO scores below 700. 76 The trust prospectuses also reported the weighted average FICO score, with the average FICO score above 700 for each trust. 77 These disclosures support the statements, such as âthe FICO scores remain pretty consistently in that 710 to 720 *156 range,â 78 that Lead Plaintiffs now challenge as misleading. Defendantsâ statements were not misleading because First Marbleheadâs disclosures demonstrated that the average FICO score was above 700, but there were student loans in the trust pools with FICO scores below 700.
In addition, First Marblehead disclosed its changes in credit criteria. In 2004, for example, and prior to the Class Period, First Marblehead disclosed that
approximately three percent of the loans securitized in NCSLT 2004 and four percent of the loans securitized in NCSLT 2003 represent a new product line.... [The new line] includes cosigned loans for which the co-signer has a lower ... FICO ... score ... than [First Marbleheadâs] other tiered products .... Although the inclusion of these new loans resulted in estimated overall default rates for NCSLT 2004 and NCSLT 2003 that are ... higher ... than what [First Marblehead] estimated for NCMSLT, the average FICO score for loans in each of the trusts remained above 700. 79
In 2005, First Marblehead disclosed that â[i]n fiscal 2003, some of [First Marble-headâs] private label clients introduced a new product line which includes co-signed loans for which the co-signer has a ... FICO ... score that is lower than the FICO score required for [First Marble-headâs] other tiered products.â 80 In May 2006, First Marblehead disclosed that it ârecently began facilitating loans under a new program for borrowers who have ... FICO[ ] scores within [First Marbleheadâs] current program parameters, but have information on their credit reports which indicate a higher risk of delinquency and default.â 81 During the Class Period, First Marblehead informed the investing public of similar changes in credit criteria and warned, for example, that âthe inclusion of these loans in future securitizations [would] result in slightly higher overall default rate assumptions for the trusts used to securitize these loans.â 82 First Marbleheadâs SEC filings before and during the Class Period demonstrate that First Marblehead disclosed changes in credit criteria that had resulted in securitizations of student loans with lower credit scores. 83
*157 b. Default Rates
The Complaint alleges that Defendants failed to disclose that âFirst Marble-head was experiencing rising default rates in its securitized loans, and that neither the Company nor TERI could absorb such high default rates.â 84 Because First Marblehead disclosed its increasing default rates and warned of the consequences that could result from such an increase, Lead Plaintiffsâ default rate allegations fail.
During the Class Period, First Marble-head and the trusts filed quarterly reports with the SEC that provided deferment, delinquency, and default data about the student loans owned by the trusts. 85 Each trust reported its actual cumulative default rate in the requisite Form 10-D filings. 86 The actual cumulative default rate for each trust also could be calculated from First Marbleheadâs static data pool. 87 Finally, First Marblehead disclosed expected default rates over time, using a default rate assumption of expected loan defaults net of recoveries. 88
First Marbleheadâs default rate disclosures revealed an increase in defaults that was proportionate to Lead Plaintiffsâ allegations. During the Class Period, First Marblehead disclosed gross default rates of 8.77% as of March 31, 2006, 89 8.95% as of June 30, 2006, 90 9.16% as of September 30, 2006, 91 9.29% as of December 31, 2006. 92 10.33%/8.93% as of March 31, 2007. 93 9.38% as of June 30, 2007, 94 9.68% *158 as of September 30, 2007, 95 14.76% as of December 31, 2007, 96 and 14.77% as of March 31, 2007. 97 In other words, First Marblehead reported a default rate increase from 8.77% to 14.77% during the Class Period. The disclosure of long-term default rate assumptions as high as 14.77% refutes Lead Plaintiffsâ allegations that First Marblehead failed to disclose default rates of âapproximately 16%â or âas high as 14 or 15%.â 98 First Marbleheadâs disclosures are consistent with the âapproximateâ allegations of the Complaint.
In addition to disclosing default rates, First Marblehead warned the investing public of the risks that rising default rates posed. 99 For example, First Marblehead cautioned:
Increases in our estimates of defaults ... as well as decreases in default recovery rates ... would have a negative effect on the value of [First Marble-headâs] additional structural advisory fees and residuals.... If defaults increase beyond the level of expected third-party reimbursement, then these changes will have an additional negative effect on the value of [First Marble-headâs] additional structural advisory fees and residuals. 100
c. TERI
Lead Plaintiffs claim that Defendants were aware of TERIâs financial problems that resulted from the increasing default rates and that Defendants failed to disclose those problems to First Marble-headâs investors. Particularly, the Complaint charges that Defendants concealed First Marbleheadâs âtrue role in managing TERIâs business and operations,â âFirst Marbleheadâs inability to manage TERIâs riskâ and âfailure to consult with ratings agencies,â and âTERIâs inability to guarantee First Marblehead loans.â 101 Because First Marblehead disclosed the nature of its relationship with TERI and warned of the risks associated with that relationship, these allegations fail. Moreover, nothing in the Complaint alleges that anyone at First Marblehead was aware that TERI was experiencing problems sufficiently detrimental to require disclosure to the investing public.
First Marblehead disclosed the extent of its relationship with TERI in its SEC filings. First Marbleheadâs Form 10-K for the period ending June 30, 2006, for example, demonstrated that First Marblehead and TERI had a close, mutually beneficial business relationship:
In June 2001, [First Marblehead] purchased the loan processing operations of *159 TERI and entered into a series of agreements to govern future securitizations of TERI-guaranteed loans. TERI continues to provide private student loan guaranteed, education information and counseling services for students, and is the exclusive third-party provider of borrower default guarantees for [First Marbleheadâs] clientsâ private label loans. [First Marblehead] ha[s] entered into an agreement to provide various services for TERI and received fees from TERI for services performed of $106.1 million, or 19% of total service revenue, for fiscal 2006, and $78.2 million or 19% of total service revenue, for fiscal 2005.... [First Marblehead] also ha[s] entered into an agreement to receive from TERI updated information about the performance of the student loans it has guaranteed, to allow [First Marblehead] to supplement [its] database. Each of these agreements with TERI had an initial term through June 2006. In October 2004, [First Marble-head] exercised [its] option to renew each agreement for an additional five-year term, through June 2011. 102
First Marblehead in no way concealed or minimized its close business relationship with TERI.
First Marblehead also provided adequate warnings of the risks associated with its relationship with TERI and the consequences that would ensue if such risks materialized. For example, First Marble-head warned that if its âagreements with TERI terminate for any reason, or if TERI fails to comply with its obligations, [First Marbleheadâs] business would be adversely affected and the value of [its] intangible assets could be impaired.â 103 Under the heading â[First Marbleheadâs] business could be adversely affected if TERFs ratings are downgraded,â 104 First Marblehead warned of the following:
In its role as guarantor in the private education lending market, TERI agrees to reimburse lenders for unpaid principal and interest on defaulted loans. TERI is the exclusive provider of borrower default guarantees for [First Marbleheadâs] clientsâ private label loans. As of June 80, 2006, TERI had a Baa3 counterparty rating from Moodyâs Investors Service, which is the lowest investment grade rating, and an insurer financial strength rating of A+ from Fitch Ratings. If these ratings are lowered, [First Marbleheadâs] clients may not wish to enter into guarantee arrangements with TERI. In addition, [First Marblehead] may receive lower structural advisory fees because the costs of obtaining financial guarantee insurance for the asset-backed securitizations that [First Marblehead] structure^] could increase. Finally, the inability of TERI as student loan guarantor to meet its guaranty obligations could reduce the amount of principal or interest paid to the holders of asset-backed securities, which could adversely affect [First Marbleheadâs] residual interests in securitization trusts or harm [First Marbleheadâs] ability to structure securitizations in the future. In each such case, [First Marbleheadâs] business would be adversely affected. 105
Given that Defendants disclosed the relevant risks posed by First Marbleheadâs relationship with TERI, Lead Plaintiffsâ *160 TERI allegations fail to state a cognizable claim. 106
In addition, the Complaintâs TERI allegations are insufficient to state an actionable claim because Lead Plaintiffs fail to allege that anyone at First Marblehead knew of TERIâs intentions to file for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11. At most, the Complaint avers that First Marblehead was âwell aware of TERIâs cash position many months before TERI filed for bankruptcy in April 2008.â 107 The Complaint does not state whether Defendants knew that TERI had any intentions of filing for bankruptcy âmany monthsâ before April 2008, nor does it allege how bad TERIâs cash position was or how long it would take before bankruptcy became a reality. This was not a situation in which First Marblehead presented a risk as a contingency after the risk had already materialized. 108 â â[I]n the absence of any factual allegations from which one can infer that defendants had actually settled upon the detailsâ of the bankruptcy plan in advance of the filing, Plaintiffsâ allegations fail to evince any hint of fraudulent intent.â 109 If anything, Lead Plaintiffsâ TERI allegations amount to âfraud by hindsight, essentially inferring earlier knowledge based only on the situation that later came to pass,â which the First Circuit has âconsistently rejected.â 110
d. Internal Controls and Management
Lead Plaintiffs charge that First Marblehead âfailed to maintain adequate internal and financial controlsâ and concealed its âinability to manage TERIâs risk.â 111 In particular, the Complaint states that First Marbleheadâs new approach to credit guidelines âwas generally overlooked by First Marbleheadâs management,â 112 the Former Loan Manager believed that the cancellation predictions were âextremely difficult to pin down and exceedingly unreliable in nature,â 113 there was a âgrowing awarenessâ that First Marbleheadâs âforecasting models were no longer able to accurately predict default and cancellation rates,â 114 and First Marblehead ignored TERIâs warnings and refused to offer TERI financial assistance. 115 Lead Plaintiffsâ internal controls and mismanagement allegations fail to state a cog *161 nizable claim because they are too vague and mismanagement is not actionable in securities law.
Lead Plaintiffs fail to identify a false statement regarding First Marbleheadâs internal controls or specify which internal controls were inadequate. To the extent that the internal controls claim is predicated on rising default rates and volatile cancellation rates, this claim fails. First Marblehead disclosed the default rates, 116 and the Complaint has not alleged a material misstatement or omission with respect to the cancellation rates. 117 The remainder of Lead Plaintiffsâ internal controls allegations amounts to âgeneralizations regarding integrity, fiscal discipline and risk management,â which are not actionable. 118 Finally, generalized claims of mismanagement are not recognized under the securities laws. 119
e. Future Securitizations
Lead Plaintiffs claim that First Marblehead failed to disclose that it âwas experiencing significant problems with [its] ability to securitize loans,â it would be âunable to securitize its loans in the near future,â and it â[would] forego the securitization of loans in 2008.â 120 Because First Marblehead disclosed that it would not be structuring any securitizations around the same time period that default rates began to spike, this claim fails. For example, âon December 7, 2007, First Marblehead issued a press release announcing that ... the Company would not securitize any loans during the quarter.â 121 Lead Plaintiffs contend specifically that First Marble-head made a misrepresentation by stating that it would structure a securitization in September 2007. 122 But this could not have been a misrepresentation given that First Marbleheadâs final securitization closed in that very month. 123
f. True Earnings and Financial Condition
Finally, the Complaint alleges that First Marblehead âmisrepresented the true earnings and financial condition of the Company.â 124 Lead Plaintiffs claim as causes of the false and misleading financial results the alleged misstatements regarding changes in credit guidelines, 125 rising default rates, 126 and inadequate internal controls. 127 The Complaint alleges that as a result, First Marblehead incorrectly valued its rights to future payments for the âback-endâ additional structural advisory fees and residual interests. 128 Lead Plain *162 tiffsâ trae earnings and financial condition claim fails because First Marbleheadâs projections regarding future payments are subject to the PSLRAâs âsafe harborâ provision and Lead Plaintiffs have not pleaded facts demonstrating that Defendants had actual knowledge of falsity.
First Marbleheadâs future payments projections are entitled to the PSLRAâs safe harbor. The safe harbor provision shields from liability âany forward-looking statementâ made by issuers of securities such as First Marblehead. 129 The PSLRA defines âforward-looking statementsâ to include âprojection[s] of revenues, income ..., [and] earnings,â and âany statement of the assumptions underlyingâ such projections. 130 First Marbleheadâs projections of revenues from the additional structural advisory fees and residual interests satisfy this definition and therefore qualify as âforward-looking statements.â 131
To qualify for the safe harbor, the forward-looking statements must be accompanied by âmeaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statement.â 132 First Marbleheadâs financial projections were accompanied by just such cautionary statements. For example, First Marblehead qualified its revenue projections with the following warning:
If the actual performance of some or all of the securitization trusts varies from the key assumptions [First Marblehead] use[s], the actual additional structural advisory fees and residuals that [First Marblehead] receive[s] from the trusts could be significantly less than reflected in [First Marbleheadâs] current financial statements, and [First Marblehead] may incur a material negative adjustment to [its] earnings in the period in which [its] assumptions change.... In particular, economic, regulatory, competitive and other factors affecting prepayment, default and recovery rates on the underlying securitized loan portfolio, including full or partial prepayments as a result of loan consolidation activity, could cause or contribute to differences between the actual performance of the securitization trusts and [First Marbleheadâs] key assumptions. 133
The PSLRA provides an exception to the safe harbor if the statement was made âwith actual knowledge ... that the statement was false or misleading.â 134 Lead Plaintiffs have not pleaded facts showing that First Marbleheadâs statements were false or misleading and, if so, that First Marblehead had actual knowledge of their falsity. Lead Plaintiffsâ allegations of actual knowledge of falsity are predicated on their credit guidelines, default rates, and internal controls claims. 135 As already discussed, each of these allegations fails to state an actionable claim. 136 In any event, *163 Lead Plaintiffsâ financial projection allegations are inadequate for having failed to plead the approximate amount by which the financial projections were inaccurate. 137
2. Scienter
Scienter is âa mental state embracing intent to deceive, manipulate, or defraud.â 138 Plaintiffs may satisfy the scienter requirement by showing âeither conscious intent to defraud or a high degree of recklessness.â 139 The PSLRA requires plaintiffs to âstate with particularity facts that give rise to a strong inference of scienter rather than merely a reasonable inference.â 140 A court should evaluate scienter âwith reference to the complaint as a whole,â and âcompeting inferences should be weighed against plaintiffsâ preferred interpretation of the facts.â 141 But âwhere there are equally strong inferences for and against scienter, Tellabs now awards the draw to the plaintiff.â 142
Lead Plaintiffs have failed to plead sufficient facts giving rise to a strong inference of scienter because First Marble-head disclosed that which the Complaint alleges it concealed. During the Class Period, First Marblehead disclosed that it did not require borrowers to have a FICO score above 700, 143 it had lowered its credit criteria, 144 default rates had risen to 14.77%, 145 it had a close relationship with TERI, 146 various risks accompanied its relationship with TERI, 147 and changes in various factors could undermine its financial projections. 148 These disclosures went to the heart of Lead Plaintiffsâ theory that Defendants instituted a clandestine program to reduce credit guidelines, which led to an undisclosed rise in default rates and TERIâs eventual bankruptcy. First Marbleheadâs detailed disclosures negate any inference of scienter. 149
In addition, the Complaintâs insider trading allegations are not sufficient to establish a strong inference of scienter. âInsider trading cannot establish scienter on its own, but it can be used to do so in combination with other evidenceâ if the trading is âin suspicious amounts or at suspicious times.â 150 The insider trading by the three Individual Defendants de *164 tailed in the Complaint 151 was not in suspicious amounts or at suspect times. Defendants Alexander, Anbinder, and Berkley all served as nonemployee directors during the Class Period, 152 and the Complaint does not identify any of them as having particularized knowledge of the alleged fraudulent scheme. Defendant Alexander sold only 13.81% of his holdings, 153 and his last sale occurred on December 14, 2006, approximately eleven months before the first partial disclosure of the alleged fraudulent scheme. 154 A âbroad temporal distance between stock sales and a disclosure of bad news defeats any inference of scienter.â 155 Defendant Anbinder sold only 24.95% of his holdings, 156 and the sales were pursuant to trading plans already in place on December 9, 2005 and December 5, 2006. 157 Defendant Berkley sold only 12.90% of his holdings, 158 and his last sale occurred on February 9, 2007, approximately nine months before the first partial disclosure of the alleged fraudulent scheme.
3. Loss Causation
To state an actionable § 10(b) claim, a complaint must plead âa causal connection between the material misrepresentation and the lossâ suffered by the plaintiff. 159 In other words, the plaintiff must allege âproximate causation and economic loss.â 160 To do this, the complaint must plead that the defendant companyâs âshare price fell significantly after the truth became known.â 161
Lead Plaintiffsâ loss causation allegations fail because First Marblehead provided adequate disclosures. First Marbleheadâs detailed disclosures regarding credit criteria 162 and default rates, 163 and the risks associated with First Marble-headâs relationship with TER.I 164 and the projected financial results, 165 negate any theory that there was a concealed fraud or risk to be disclosed to the market. Instead, First Marbleheadâs drop in share price coincided with a significant downturn in the credit markets 166 and its own preex *165 isting pattern of stock declines. 167 As the Second Circuit stated in the context of a RICO suit, âwhen the plaintiffs loss coincides with a marketwide phenomenon causing comparable losses to other investors, the prospect that the plaintiffs loss was caused by the fraud decreases.â 168 Defendantsâ detailed disclosures, the deterioration in the credit markets, and First Marbleheadâs preexisting pattern of stock declines negate Lead Plaintiffsâ theory of loss causation.
D. Section 20(a)
Lead Plaintiffsâ § 20(a) âcontrolling personâ claim fails because they have not pleaded adequately an underlying § 10(b) violation. 169
IV. Conclusion
For the foregoing reasons, Defendantsâ Motion to Dismiss is ALLOWED. This case is DISMISSED.
AN ORDER HAS ISSUED.
ORDER OF DISMISSAL
For the reasons set forth in the accompanying Memorandum, this court hereby orders that:
1. Defendantsâ Motion to Dismiss [# 68] is ALLOWED.
2. This case is DISMISSED.
IT IS SO ORDERED.
. 15 U.S.C.A. § 78j(b) (West 2009).
. 17 C.F.R. § 240.10b-5 (2009).
.§ 78t.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 9.
. Id. ¶ 10.
. Cf. In re Colonial Mortgage Bankers Corp., 324 F.3d 12, 19 (1st Cir.2003) ("[M]atters of public record are fair game in adjudicating Rule 12(b)(6) motions, and a court's reference to such matters does not convert a motion to dismiss into a motion for summary judgment.").
. Am. Compl. ¶ 87.
.Id.
. Id. ¶ 63.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 65.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 68.
. Id. ¶ 70.
. Id.
. Id. ¶69.
. Id. ¶ 70.
. Id. ¶71.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 83.
. Id. ¶ 72.
. Id. The Complaint has "evidently confuse[d] 'commercial paper' (which [First Marblehead] has never sold), with asset-backed securities issued by the Trusts.â Defs.â Reply Mem. Supp. Dismissal 14.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 73.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 74.
. Id.
. Id.
. AM 81.
. AM 82.
. AM 83.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 84.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 85.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 88.
. See id. ¶¶ 90-180.
. Id. ¶ 88.
. Id. ¶ 181.
. Id. ¶ 190.
. See id. ¶ 62.
. See id. ¶ 68.
. See id. ¶ 75.
. See id. ¶ 83.
. See id. ¶¶ 84-85.
. Id. ¶ 192.
. Id. ¶ 193.
. Id.
. Id. ¶ 198.
. Id. ¶ 200.
. Id. ¶201. The Complaint also sets forth the other required elements of a § 10(b) claim â a connection with the purchase or sale of a security, reliance, and economic loss â which are not challenged by Defendants' Motion.
. Fantini v. Salem State Coll., 557 F.3d 22, 26 (1st Cir.2009).
. Aulson v. Blanchard, 83 F.3d 1, 3 (1st Cir.1996).
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 9(b).
. See Tellabs, Inc. v. Makor Issues & Rights, Ltd., 551 U.S. 308, 319-20, 127 S.Ct. 2499, 168 L.Ed.2d 179 (2007).
.§ 78u-4(b)(1).
. Id. § 78u-4(b)(2).
. In re Cornerstone Propane Partners, L.P. Sec. Litig., 355 F.Supp.2d 1069, 1081 (N.D.Cal.2005).
. Acknowledging that courts generally approach § 10(b) cases using "a statement-by-statement analysis,â In re Boston Tech. Sec. Litig., 8 F.Supp.2d 43, 55 (D.Mass.1998), this court examines the allegations in the Complaint categorically, as Lead Plaintiffs do in paragraph 181.
. Defendants also challenge Lead Plaintiffsâ confidential sources. Confidential sources must be "described in the complaint with sufficient particularity to support the probability that a person in the position occupied by the sources would possess the information alleged.â See In re Cabletron Sys., Inc., 311 F.3d 11, 29 (1st Cir.2002) (citations and quotation omitted). Because this court dismisses the Complaint on other grounds, it need not reach Defendantsâ challenges to the confidential sources. âą
. § 78j(b).
. § 240.10b-5.
. ACA Fin. Guar. Corp. v. Advest, Inc., 512 F.3d 46, 58 (1st Cir.2008) (citing Dura Pharm., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 341-42, 125 S.Ct. 1627, 161 L.Ed.2d 577 (2005)).
. § 78u-4(b)(l).
. In re Stone & Webster, Inc. Sec. Litig., 414 F.3d 187, 194 (1st Cir.2005).
. See Decker v. Massey-Ferguson, Ltd., 681 F.2d 111, 116-17 (2d Cir.1982); In re Keyspan Corp. Sec. Litig., 383 F.Supp.2d 358, 377 (E.D.N.Y.2003) ("Even at the pleading stage, dismissal is appropriate where the complaint is premised on the nondisclosure of information that was actually disclosed.â); White v. Melton, 757 F.Supp. 267, 272 (S.D.N.Y.1991) ("The Court must dismiss a complaint founded on allegations of securities fraud if the allegedly omitted or misrepresented information was in fact appropriately disclosed.â).
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. Lead Plaintiffs mischaracterize Defendants as raising a "truth on the marketâ defense. See Pis.â Mem. Oppân Dismissal 13. The truth on the market defense is used to rebut a plaintiff's presumption of reliance on the market by arguing that even if fraudulent statements were made, truthful information later entered the market. See In re Biogen Sec. Litig., 179 F.R.D. 25, 36-37 (D.Mass.1997). Defendants have not raised a truth on the market defense, but instead argue that "Plaintiffs have failed to plead facts to show that there were any misstatements or scienter in the first place.â Defs.â Reply Mem. Supp. Dismissal 8.
. See Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal Exs. 18 at FMD 365-67, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-3 (â2006-3 Trustâ) Prospectus Supplement, Sept. 26, 2006; 19 at FMD 540-42, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-4 ("2006-4 Trustâ) Prospectus Supplement, Dec. 5, 2006; 20 at FMD 557-59, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-1 (â2007-1 Trustâ) Prospectus Supplement, Mar. 7, 2007; 21 at FMD 574-76, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-2 ("2007-2 Trustâ) Prospectus Supplement, June 12, 2007; 22 at FMD 592-94, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-3 (â2007-3 Trustâ) Preliminary Prospectus Supplement, (subject to completion dated Sept. 17, 2007); 23 at FMD 610-12, The National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2007-4 ("2007-4 Trust") Prospectus Supplement, Sept. 19, 2007.
.See 2006-3 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 365-67 (disclosing the weighted average available FICO score for all loans, 712, cosigned loans, 714, and noncosigned loans, 706); 2006-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 540-42 (714, 715, 705); 2007-1 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 557-59 (714, 715, 706); 2007-2 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 574-76 (713, 714, 707); 2007-3 Trust Preliminary Prospectus Supplement FMD 592-94 (711, 712, 707); 2007-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 610-12 (711, 712, 707).
. Am. Compl. ¶ 36.
. Dels. Mem. Supp. Dismissal Ex. 1 at FMD 4, First Marblehead Form 10-K, Sept. 15, 2004.
. Id Ex. 7 at FMD 235, First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Nov. 8, 2006.
. Moreover, Lead Plaintiffs have failed to show that any undisclosed change in credit criteria would have been material. The crux of the Complaint is that during the Class Period, concealed changes in credit criteria caused an undisclosed spike in default rates, which in turn led to TERIâs bankruptcy. The Class Period lasted less than twenty months, but the weighted average deferral period for the trusts exceeded twenty-five months from the date of securitization. See 2006-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 538 (exceeded twenty-seven months); 2007-1 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 555 (twenty-six); 2007-2 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 572 (twenty-two); 2007-3 Trust Preliminary Prospectus Supplement FMD 590 (twenty-seven); 2007-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 608 (twenty-seven). A student loan could not be in default if it was still in the deferral period. Because most of the student loans securitized during the Class Period carried deferral periods that extended beyond the length of the Class Period, the Class Period did not span enough months to allow for a substantial spike in default rates.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal Ex. 12 at FMD 280-303, First Marblehead Form 8-K7A, Jan. 30, 2008 (providing static pool data as of December 31, 2007); see also 2006-3 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 363-64 (providing trust deferment and delinquency data); 2006-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 538-39 (same); 2007-1 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 555-56 (same); 2007-2 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 572-73 (same); 2007-3 Trust Preliminary Prospectus Supplement FMD 590-91 (same); 2007-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement FMD 608-09 (same).
. See, e.g., Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal Exs. 27-32 (Forms 10-D for the 2006-3 Trust filed December 28, 2006, January 29, 2007, March 27, 2007, May 1, 2007, June 29, 2007, and July 31, 2007, respectively).
. See First Marblehead Form 8-K/A, Jan. 30, 2008 at FMD 280-303. â[T]he cumulative default rate as a percentage of the original pool balance could be calculated by dividing âCumulative Claims, Net of Cancellationsâ (included in the Cumulative Loss Data) by the âAggregate Pool Balanceâ (included in the Original Pool Characteristics).â Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10 n. 17.
. See First Marblehead Form 10-Q, May 10, 2006 at FMD 226 (gross default rate as of March 31, 2006); Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal Ex. 3 at FMD 71, First Marblehead Form 10-K, Sept. 12, 2006 (gross default rate as of June 30, 2006); First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Nov. 8, 2006 at FMD 234 (gross default rate as of September 30, 2006); Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10 (gross default rate as of December 31, 2006); Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal Ex. 9 at FMD 254, First Marblehead Form 10-Q, May 10, 2007 (gross default rates as of March 31, 2007); Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10 (gross default rate as of June 30, 2007 and September 30, 2007); Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal Ex. 10 at FMD 267, First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Feb. 11, 2008 (gross default rate as of December 31, 2007); Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10 (gross default rate as of March 31, 2007).
. First Marblehead Form 10-Q, May 10, 2006 at FMD 226.
. First Marblehead Form 10-K, Sept. 12, 2006 at FMD 71.
. First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Nov. 8, 2006 at FMD 234.
. Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10.
. First Marblehead Form 10-Q, May 10, 2007 at FMD 254 (providing two values due to a change in the structure of securitizations that occurred during that quarter).
. Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10.
. First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Feb. 11, 2008 at FMD 267.
. Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 10.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 74.
. See Romani v. Shearson Lehman Hutton, 929 F.2d 875, 879-80 (1st Cir.1991) ("Documents such as this, which clearly 'bespeak caution,' are not the stuff on which securities fraud claims are made.â (citations and internal quotation omitted)); Luce v. Edelstein, 802 F.2d 49, 56 (2d Cir.1986) ("We are not inclined to impose liability on the basis of statements that clearly âbespeak caution.â â); In re No. Nine Visual Tech. Corp. Sec. Litig., 51 F.Supp.2d 1, 21-22 (D.Mass.1999) ("When a forward-looking statement is 'accompanied by cautionary disclosures that adequately warn of the possibility that actual results or events may turn out differently,' the statement is nonactionable.â (quoting Shaw v. Digital Equip. Corp., 82 F.3d 1194, 1213 (1st Cir.1996))).
. First Marblehead Form 10-Q, Nov. 8, 2006 at FMD 236.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. First Marblehead Form 10-K, Sept. 12, 2006 at FMD 49.
. See Romani, 929 F.2d at 879-80; Luce, 802 F.2d at 56; In re No. Nine Visual Tech., 51 F.Supp.2d at 21-22.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 84; see also id. ¶ 83 (stating that rising default rates placed TERI "in the position of bankruptcyâ); id. ¶ 84 (stating that "it was clear to First Marblehead executives by November 2007 that TERI would have major solvency issues if the negative default trends continuedâ); id. ¶ 85 (stating that the TERI trust was "running out of funds due to a systematic increase in loan defaultsâ); id. (stating that TERI asked "for a cash infusion in order to maintain TERIâs operationsâ).
. Cf. In re Apple Computer Sec. Litig., 886 F.2d 1109, 1115 (9th Cir.1989) ("There is a difference between knowing that any product-in-development may run into a few snags, and knowing that a particular product has already developed problems so significant as to require months of delay.â).
. In re Tower Auto. Sec. Litig., 483 F.Supp.2d 327, 348 (S.D.N.Y.2007) (quoting Font v. Perelman, Nos. 97 CIV. 8435(LAP), 97 CIV. 8436(LAP), 1999 WL 199078, at *15 (S.D.N.Y. Apr. 9, 1999)).
. See Rodriguez-Ortiz v. Margo Caribe, Inc., 490 F.3d 92, 97 (1st Cir.2007) (internal quotation omitted). Fraud by hindsight is generally viewed as a failure to plead a strong inference of scienter. See id.
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. Id. ¶ 65.
. Id. ¶ 69.
. Id. ¶ 73.
. See id. ¶ 85.
. See supra subsection III.C.1.b.
. See Am. Cortipl. ¶ 181.
. In re JP Morgan Chase Sec. Litig., 363 F.Supp.2d 595, 633 (S.D.N.Y.2005); cf. In re NTL, Inc. Sec. Litig., 347 F.Supp.2d 15, 24 (S.D.N.Y.2004) (holding that the complaint failed to plead an actionable securities claim given that the allegations were of an âindeterminate meaningâ and contained âlittle or no hard information concerning the extent or prevalence - of the subsidiary âfacts' relied uponâ).
. See Santa Fe Indus., Inc. v. Green, 430 U.S. 462, 477-80, 97 S.Ct. 1292, 51 L.Ed.2d 480 (1977).
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. Id. ¶ 160.
. See Pis.â Mem. Oppân Dismissal 18-19.
.. See Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal 12; 2007-4 Trust Prospectus Supplement (to the prospectus dated September 17, 2007).
. Am. Compl. ¶ 181.
. See id. ¶¶ 182, 184.
. See id. ¶ 182.
. See id. ¶ 184.
. See id. ¶ 183.
. § 78u-5(c)(l).
. Id. § 78u-5(i)(l).
. First Marblehead's use of a discounted cash flow methodology supports this conclusion. See Little Gem Life Scis. LLC v. Orphan Med., Inc., No. 06-1377 ADM/AJB, 2007 WL 541677, at *6 (D.Minn. Feb. 16, 2007) ("[A] discounted cash flow analysis is forward looking for the purposes of the bespeaks caution doctrine.â).
.§ 78u-5(c)(l)(A)(i).
. First Marblehead Form 10-K, Sept. 12, 2006 at FMD 46.
. § 78u-5(c)(l)(B)(ii)(II).
. See Am. Compl. ¶¶ 182, 184.
. See supra subsections III.C.1.a. (credit guidelines), III.C.1.b. (default rates), III.C.1.d. (internal controls).
. See In re Polaroid Corp. Sec. Litig., 134 F.Supp.2d 176, 186 (D.Mass.2001) (''In order to plead adequately financial fraud based on improper revenue recognition, the complaint must describe the violations at issue with sufficient particularity, setting forth such basic details as ... the approximate amount by which revenues and earnings were overstated. ...â).
. Ernst & Ernst v. Hochfelder, 425 U.S. 185, 193 n. 12, 96 S.Ct. 1375, 47 L.Ed.2d 668 (1976).
. ACA Fin., 512 F.3d at 58 (citation and internal quotation omitted).
. In re Cabletron, 311 F.3d at 28 (citations and internal quotation omitted).
. ACA Fin., 512 F.3d at 59.
. Id. (citing Tellabs, 551 U.S. at 324, 127 S.Ct. 2499).
. See supra subsection III.C.1.a.
. See id.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.b.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.c.
. See id.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.f.
. See, e.g., In re Worlds of Wonder Sec. Litig., 35 F.3d 1407, 1425 (9th Cir.1994) ("The detailed risk disclosure in the Debenture Prospectus negates an inference of scienter.â).
. Miss. Pub. Employeesâ Ret. Sys. v. Boston Sci. Corp., 523 F.3d 75, 92 (1st Cir.2008).
. See Am. Compl. ¶ 193 (identifying Defendants Alexander, Anbinder, and Berkley). The Complaint also mentions three nondefendant insider sellers, but does not aver that they were involved in or were beneficiaries to the alleged fraudulent scheme. See id.
. See id. ¶¶ 23-25.
. See id. ¶ 193.
. See id. ¶ 201.
. In re Party City Sec. Litig., 147 F.Supp.2d 282, 313 (D.N.J.2001).
. See Am. Compl. ¶ 193.
. See Defs.â Mem. Supp. Dismissal Exs. 13 at FMD 307, First Marblehead Form 4, Nov. 22, 2006 (disclosing the December 9, 2005 trading plan); 17 at FMD 319, First Marblehead Form 4, Oct. 22, 2007 (disclosing the December 5, 2006 trading plan).
. See Am. Compl. ¶ 193.
. Dura Pham., 544 U.S. at 342, 125 S.Ct 1627; see § 78u-4(b)(4).
. Dura Pharrn., 544 U.S. at 346, 125 S.Ct. 1627.
. See supra subsection III.C.1.a.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.b.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.c.
. See id. subsection III.C.1.f.; cf. Lentell v. Merrill Lynch & Co., 396 F.3d 161, 177 (2d Cir.2005) ("This case is ... sharply distinguishable from cases in which some or all of the risk that materialized was clearly concealed ' by a defendant's misstatements or omissions.").
. See Am. Compl. ¶¶ 121, 159, 160, 168.
.See Defs.' Mem. Supp. Dismissal 12-14. A court may take judicial notice of stock prices at the motion to dismiss stage to assess a plaintiffâs loss causation allegations. See In re Moodyâs Corp. Sec. Litig., 612 F.Supp.2d 397, 401 n. 3 (S.D.N.Y.2009) ("The Court takes judicial notice of Moodyâs historical stock prices.â).
. First Nationwide Bank v. Gelt Funding Corp., 27 F.3d 763, 772 (2d Cir.1994) (affirming that proximate cause had not been adequately alleged for purposes of a RICO suit).
. See ACA Fin., 512 F.3d at 67-68 ("The plain terms of section 20(a) indicate that it only creates liability derivative of an underlying securities violation.â).